In forceCustomsUnited States
US mail clears as a full import: brokered entry, agency data from 22 October
CBP suspended the $800 de minimis exemption indefinitely for all modes on 24 June 2026. Since 24 July, mailed goods worth $2,500 or less clear through a new postal informal entry that only the owner, the purchaser or a licensed customs broker they designate may file, with a customs bond, a 10-digit tariff classification per item and duty paid through Pay.gov by the 7th of the following month. An electronic version, Entry Type 13, has been running as a voluntary test since 22 September.
For a parcel Every mailed item into the United States now needs a named filer, a bond, a 10-digit classification, origin and value, so clearance becomes a per-item cost on top of the duty.
- 24 Jul 2026Postal informal entry process starts for mail valued at $2,500 or less Federal Register (CBP)
- 22 Sep 2026Entry Type 13 electronic informal entry for mail starts as a voluntary test, open until CBP announces its end Federal Register (CBP)
- 1 Oct 2026FDA prior notice for food arriving by international mail must include the mail service name and tracking number Federal Register (FDA)
- 22 Oct 2026Compliance date for partner government agency data and Chapter 98 and 99 requirements under the postal informal entry rule Federal Register (CBP)
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Foreign postal operatorsLicensed customs brokersCross-border marketplaces and sellersUSPS
What to prepare
- Secure a filing position before peak: a licensed broker with a continuous bond, or a partner that holds one, and test Entry Type 13 rather than relying on monthly spreadsheets
- Make item-level data (10-digit code, origin, verified value) a condition of induction for US-bound mail, and flag food, cosmetics and other agency-regulated goods separately
- Price US-bound mail as landed cost per item, with duty, filing and advancement fees shown to the shipper
Our reading 22 October falls just before peak, so the main risk is holds on agency-regulated goods with incomplete data rather than a lack of filing capacity. Because foreign posts can no longer file, clearance margin moves to whoever holds the broker licence and the customer data.
Sources
- Indefinite Suspension of the De Minimis Exemption for Mail Shipments and New Postal Informal Entry Process · Federal Register (CBP) · 2026-06-24
- Test of the New Electronic Informal Entry Process for Mail · Federal Register (CBP) · 2026-06-24
- U.S. CBP indefinitely suspends de minimis exemption for all modes of importation; new postal entry procedures · KPMG TaxNewsFlash · 2026-06-24
- Prior Notice: Adding Requirement To Submit Mail Tracking Number for Articles of Food Arriving by International Mail · Federal Register (FDA) · 2025-09-25
End of de minimisUS-China truce
ProposedPostalVietnam (National Assembly)
Vietnam's revised Postal Law goes to the National Assembly in October
The Government has approved a revised Postal Law of eight chapters and 52 articles, due before the second session of the 16th National Assembly in October 2026. It would replace licences with online registration, split operators into network and non-network providers, require an identifier for every item, sender data collection and risk classification, and extend the universal service to parcels at uniform rates in remote areas. Platforms could contract delivery directly with carriers rather than through each seller.
For a parcel Every item would need a unique identifier, verified sender data and a risk classification, adding data requirements to last-mile delivery, including cross-border parcels handed over in Vietnam.
- 1 Oct 2026Second session of the 16th National Assembly, where the draft is due for consideration (month only) Thanh Niên
- 1 Jul 2027Expected entry into force, according to Baker McKenzie (not confirmed in official summaries) Baker McKenzie
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Express and parcel carriers in VietnamVietnam PostE-commerce platformsCross-border carriers with Vietnamese last-mile partners
What to prepare
- Check that inbound data passed to Vietnamese partners can carry sender identity and item identifiers
- Review authorisations held in Vietnam: existing ones stay valid for 12 months after the law applies, then registration is required
- Follow the implementing decrees, which will set the detail of sender identification
Our reading Passage in the October session is likely given Government approval, but the operating detail will sit in decrees. Universal service for parcels at uniform rates gives the designated public operator a funded role in remote delivery that private carriers will have to price against.
Sources
- Proposal for uniform shipping rates in remote areas (draft revised Postal Law) · Thanh Niên · 2026-09-30
- Việt Nam draft postal law seeks to build digital infrastructure for e-commerce · Viet Nam News · 2026-09-30
- Vietnam: Draft Postal Law reshapes delivery framework · Baker McKenzie · 2026-08-26
ASEAN rulebook
In forceTaxBrazil
Brazil makes zero tax on imports up to US$50 law before the vote
Law 15,502/2026, published on 10 September, lets the Finance Minister set the federal import tax at zero on purchases up to US$50 under the simplified regime and at up to 30% on purchases up to US$3,000, against 20% and 60% before; state ICMS still applies. Platforms and logistics operators must verify seller identity and bank data, monitor undervaluation and split shipments, and report quarterly to anti-piracy authorities. The industry confederation's challenge at the Supreme Court has been sent to the full court without a date.
For a parcel A sub-US$50 parcel into Brazil is cheaper but still pays ICMS, and its clearance data must now support seller vetting and split-shipment checks.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Cross-border platforms certified under Remessa ConformeExpress and courier operatorsCorreiosBrazilian retailers and manufacturers
What to prepare
- Treat the law's platform duties as your data specification: verified seller ID, tax ID and item value on every Brazil-bound consignment
- Buy peak Asia-Brazil capacity with flexibility, since import declarations rose 74% year on year in August
- Model a reversal scenario around the impact reviews and the Supreme Court case
Our reading The zero rate is likely to hold through the election, so reversal risk sits in the December impact review, the Supreme Court and the 2027 consumption tax. The 30% power for mid-value parcels is the less noticed upside.
Sources
- Law that allows zeroing the 'blouse tax' on purchases up to US$50 is signed · Agência Senado · 2026-09-11
- End of the 'blouse tax' on purchases up to US$50 is now law · Agência Câmara de Notícias · 2026-09-11
- Without the 'blouse tax', international purchases rise 74% in August · Poder360 · 2026-09-24
- Elections 2026: the main dates of the electoral calendar · Tribunal Superior Eleitoral · 2026-03
- Toffoli keeps the end of the 'blouse tax' and will take the case to the plenary · Gazeta do Povo · 2026-05-26
LatAm splitEnd of de minimis
AdoptedPostalUnited States
USPS: temporary peak prices, density pricing delayed, cash tight in 2027
The Postal Regulatory Commission approved temporary holiday prices on Priority Mail Express, Priority Mail, Ground Advantage and Parcel Select from 4 October 2026 to 17 January 2027. On 21 August it refused USPS's request to use estimated FY2026 density authority for a January 2027 increase, so a January change to market-dominant prices can only use CPI authority and density-based rises must wait for a July 2027 change filed in April. Postmaster General David Steiner has said USPS will run out of cash in early 2027 and that fewer delivery days, post office closures and a higher borrowing cap are on the table.
For a parcel Lightweight residential parcels cost more through USPS during peak, and USPS's cash position points to further price and service changes in 2027.
- 21 Aug 2026PRC denies USPS waiver to use FY2026 density rate authority for a January 2027 price change News/Media Alliance
- 4 Oct 2026Temporary holiday prices start on four domestic parcel products USPS Newsroom
- 1 Jan 2027Earliest window for a CPI-only market-dominant price change (month only; we found no filing as of 1 October) National Newspaper Association
- 17 Jan 2027Temporary holiday prices end USPS Newsroom
- 1 Jul 2027Earliest price change using density authority, filed in April 2027 (month only) News/Media Alliance
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
E-commerce shippers of lightweight parcelsConsolidators and parcel injectorsAlternative last-mile carriers
What to prepare
- Rebuild Q4 rate cards with the USPS holiday prices and compare zone by zone with alternative carriers
- Budget for a larger USPS increase in July 2027 rather than January
- Prepare contingency plans for slower or fewer delivery days in rural areas if Congress does not act
Our reading The PRC denial delays rather than prevents density pricing, so the bigger shipping price step is likely mid-2027. The cash deadline gives Congress until early 2027 to act, and service cuts are the fallback if it does not.
Sources
- PRC Denies USPS Motion to Allow January Density Rate Increase · News/Media Alliance · 2026-08-24
- Postal Regulatory Commission denies USPS January rate hike request · National Newspaper Association · 2026-08
- U.S. Postal Service Announces Temporary Price Change for 2026 Holiday Shipping Season · USPS Newsroom · 2026-08-25
- USPS Temporary Price Change Approved for 2026 Holiday Shipping Season · FP Mailing Solutions · 2026-09-18
- USPS floats more financial aid from Congress as way to avoid running out of cash next year · Federal News Network · 2026-05-08
ConsultationPostalMalaysia (Ministry of Finance; Ministry of Communications; MCMC)
Malaysia studies a courier floor price; Budget 2027 due on 9 October
Malaysia has charged 10% sales tax on imported low-value goods of RM500 or less sold online since 1 January 2024, with sellers and marketplaces registering once such sales exceed RM500,000 in 12 months. Separately, Communications Minister Fahmi Fadzil said in November 2025 that the government was studying a mandatory floor price for courier services, including cost audits and industry price assessments; MCMC's reference prices remain advisory. Budget 2027 is due to be tabled on 9 October 2026.
For a parcel Low-value imports already carry 10% sales tax collected by registered sellers; a floor price, if adopted, would set a minimum on domestic delivery rates.
- 9 Oct 2026Budget 2027 tabled in the Dewan Rakyat The Star
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Domestic couriersMarketplacesForeign sellers of low-value goodsPos Malaysia
What to prepare
- Model Malaysian last-mile costs under a floor-price scenario before renewing platform contracts
- Confirm low-value goods sales tax registration and collection for the sellers you clear
- Check the 9 October budget for any change to the low-value goods regime or the courier sector
Our reading We found no decision on the floor price as of 1 October 2026, and MCMC said in February 2025 there was no mandatory minimum price. A floor would lift smaller carriers' yields but would not change the order-flow advantage of platform-linked networks.
Sources
- Malaysia imposes tax on the import of low value goods · ASEAN Briefing · 2024-01-23
- Govt to study floor price for courier services to ensure fair competition, says Fahmi · The Edge Malaysia · 2025-11-25
- University students, institutions among Budget 2027 priorities, says Anwar · The Star · 2026-10-01
- MCMC: no mandatory minimum price for courier services · Business Today · 2025-02-19
ASEAN rulebook
In forcePlatformsEuropean Union
DSA and product safety enforcement on marketplaces
The Commission is using the Digital Services Act against marketplaces that fail to stop illegal and unsafe products: it fined Temu €200 million on 28 May 2026 and AliExpress €550 million in July, and opened formal proceedings against Shein in February. A 2026 sweep under the General Product Safety Regulation checked nearly 1,700 offers on 35 marketplaces and found 560 non-compliant.
For a parcel Platforms under pressure delist faster and in bulk, which strands parcels in transit and raises recall, return and destruction volumes for carriers.
- 28 May 2026Commission fines Temu €200 million; action plan was due by 28 August 2026 European Commission
- 20 Jul 2026Commission fines AliExpress €550 million European Commission
- 7 Sep 2026Results of the 2026 product safety sweep of online marketplaces presented Agence Europe
- 20 Oct 2026AliExpress remediation plan due, as reported JURIST
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Very large marketplacesThird-party sellersFulfilment and returns providers
What to prepare
- Agree with platform customers what happens to parcels in transit when a listing is removed: hold, return or destroy, and who pays.
- Check that shipment data carries the EU responsible person and manufacturer details that regulators now test for.
Our reading DSA fines and the customs reform's product-compliance duty point the same way; the platform answers for what is in the box, and it will push that risk down the chain by contract.
Sources
- Commission fines Temu €200 million for breaching the Digital Services Act · European Commission · 2026-05-28
- Commission fines AliExpress €550 million for breaching the Digital Services Act · European Commission · 2026-07-20
- Commission launches investigation into Shein under the Digital Services Act · European Commission · 2026-02-17
- 2026 product safety sweep shows improving compliance with product safety rules while some gaps remain · Agence Europe · 2026-09
- European Commission fines AliExpress €550 million for breaching Digital Services Act · JURIST · 2026-07-22
Platforms go localEU customs reform
ProposedCustomsMexico
Mexico's 2027 package: undervaluation crackdown and platform withholding
With the 2027 economic package delivered on 8 September, President Sheinbaum sent Congress a reform of the Customs Law aimed at undervaluation. It would cut from 50% to 20% the value gap that triggers a presumed infringement, let customs seize goods whenever the declared value is below that of identical or similar goods, and remove the option of releasing suspect goods against a guarantee. The package also proposes extending income tax and VAT withholding by digital platforms to sellers that are legal entities.
For a parcel Declared values on consolidated e-commerce imports face tighter checks and possible seizure, so valuation evidence becomes a condition of release.
- 8 Sep 20262027 economic package delivered to Congress Proceso
- 9 Sep 2026Customs Law reform initiative sent to the Chamber of Deputies El Financiero
- 20 Oct 2026Deadline for the Chamber of Deputies to approve the 2027 Income Law (the customs reform's timetable is not fixed) Proceso
- 31 Oct 2026Deadline for the Senate to approve the 2027 Income Law Proceso
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Importers and customs brokersCouriers and consolidatorsMarketplaces and their sellers
What to prepare
- Check that declared values on consolidated and bonded imports can be backed by transaction evidence
- Review broker contracts for liability if goods are seized under the new thresholds
- Prepare marketplace systems for wider seller withholding if the package passes
Our reading The reform does not target courier rates directly, but it hits the bulk-import model that platforms adopted after the 33.5% rate. Approval is likely given the governing majority; the entry-into-force date is not yet published.
Sources
- Customs, cadastre and digital payments: the 2027 Economic Package reaches Congress · Proceso · 2026-09-09
- Sheinbaum wants to change the rules at customs: this is what she proposes · El Financiero · 2026-09-09
- Customs Law reform 2027: undervaluation and seizure · ST Stratego · 2026-09-18
- 2027 Economic Package: executive summary · EY Mexico · 2026-09-10
USMCA leashLatAm split
ProposedTaxMorocco (Government; Parliament)
Morocco's 2027 finance bill: first test for the new government's import line
Morocco's 2027 finance bill must be filed in Parliament by 20 October 2026, as Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri, appointed head of government on 29 September, forms a coalition. Reported orientations focus on cutting the deficit to 3% of GDP, tax treatment of FIFA 2030 operations, green excise and customs anti-fraud tools; we found no published measure on e-commerce imports. Since July 2022, all online purchases from foreign platforms pay duty and 20% VAT, with customs citing 40% duty on textiles.
For a parcel No change yet: inbound e-commerce parcels keep paying duty and VAT; the bill will show whether rates or collection methods change in 2027.
- 29 Sep 2026Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri appointed head of government L'Oeil d'Afrique
- 20 Oct 2026Latest date to file the 2027 finance bill in Parliament La Vie éco
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Foreign marketplacesBarid Al-MaghribExpress integratorsMoroccan importers
What to prepare
- Read the bill's customs provisions on filing for any change to e-commerce, textile duties or import VAT
- Keep moving Moroccan lanes to upstream clearance with duties shown at checkout
- Prepare for customs anti-fraud tools such as electronic seals and real-time tracking
Our reading The outgoing majority has already set the bill's fiscal frame, so a reversal of the 2022 e-commerce taxation is unlikely. Coalition talks could push filing close to the deadline.
Sources
- PLF 2027: a budget roadmap already well marked out · La Vie éco · 2026-09-18
- PLF 2027: the main tax and customs measures under study · Le360 · 2026-09-14
- Taxes on online purchases: the effects of the latest customs decision · LeBrief · 2022-06-30
- Morocco: Fatima Zahra El Mansouri, first woman head of government · L'Oeil d'Afrique · 2026-09-30
North Africa gateway
AdoptedCustomsEuropean Union
EU €2 handling fee on low-value parcels from November 2026
On 21 September 2026 the Commission adopted a delegated act setting a Union handling fee of €2 on goods up to €150 released into free circulation, based on member states' customs costs and item volumes. Parliament and Council have up to 30 days to object, and the fee must be introduced no later than 1 November 2026. From 1 July 2028 a lower amount applies where the importer operates a customs warehouse.
For a parcel A single-line parcel under €150 from outside the EU carries at least €5 in EU charges (€3 duty plus €2 fee) before VAT, from November 2026.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Non-EU marketplacesNon-EU web shopsPostal operatorsExpress integratorsCustoms brokersConsumers
What to prepare
- Confirm the charging unit in the published text: the Commission describes the fee per item, while some advisers read it per consignment.
- Build the €2 into delivered duty paid checkout prices now, so it is not collected at the door.
- Test with each member state of entry how the fee will be declared and remitted from 1 November, and plan for teething problems in peak season.
Our reading An objection from Parliament or Council looks unlikely given the political consensus; the practical risk is uneven national collection in the first weeks, which falls on carriers holding the parcels.
Sources
- EU Sets €2 Handling Fee for Small Parcels Under Customs Reform · VATupdate · 2026-09-28
- EU Customs Reform · European Commission, DG Taxation and Customs Union · 2026-10-01
- Mini parcels from outside the EU: the handling fee will be 2 euros, plus tariffs of 3 euros · Il Sole 24 Ore · 2026-09
- UK Low Value Import Relief to be Removed by October 2028 · Baker McKenzie Global Import Blog · 2026-07-24
End of de minimisEU customs reform
ProposedCustomsUnited Kingdom
UK: £135 customs relief to end by October 2028
HM Treasury and HMRC confirmed on 13 July 2026 that the £135 low-value import relief from customs duty will be removed by October 2028 at the latest. Goods will be classified under the existing UK tariff, an additional fee will be introduced, and overseas sellers must appoint a UK fiscal representative jointly and severally liable for customs debts. Secondary legislation and the fee amount are still to come, and HMRC is assessing whether VAT collection should be realigned.
For a parcel Low-value parcels into the UK will need full tariff classification, a customs duty payment and an additional fee, on top of the VAT already collected at checkout.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Non-UK marketplaces and sellersUK fiscal representativesPostal operatorsExpress integratorsCustoms brokers
What to prepare
- Build a 2028 UK cost model with full classification, the new fee and fiscal representative costs, and add re-opener clauses to multi-year contracts.
- Decide whether to offer fiscal representation, with strict credit and data checks given joint and several liability.
Our reading Until 2028 the UK stays the softest large Western market for direct parcels; retailer pressure makes an earlier interim charge possible, but no Budget signal has appeared yet.
Sources
- UK Low Value Import Relief to be Removed by October 2028 · Baker McKenzie Global Import Blog · 2026-07-24
- Low Value Imports reform confirmed for October 2028 at the latest · Hillier Hopkins · 2026-07-15
- Healey sets a pre-Halloween Autumn Budget · Chase de Vere · 2026-09-10
UK £135 gapEnd of de minimis
In forceCustomsUnited Arab Emirates (Dubai Customs; Ministry of Finance)
Dubai lifts its e-commerce duty exemption to AED 1,000; UAE e-invoicing from 2027
Under Dubai Customs Notice 16/2026, cross-border e-commerce shipments valued up to AED 1,000 have been exempt from customs duty since 3 August 2026, up from AED 300; tobacco, e-cigarettes, nicotine liquids and alcohol are excluded, and duty-paid returns within 60 days qualify. Separately, Ministerial Decisions 243 and 244 of 2025 make B2B and B2G e-invoicing mandatory from 1 January 2027 for businesses with revenue of AED 50 million or more and from 1 July 2027 for the rest.
For a parcel Most B2C parcels into Dubai no longer pay customs duty (VAT treatment is not addressed in the reports we reviewed), while logistics firms' own B2B invoices move to e-invoicing in 2027.
- 3 Aug 2026Dubai AED 1,000 e-commerce duty exemption takes effect Gulf Today
- 30 Oct 2026Deadline for large businesses to appoint an accredited e-invoicing service provider (extended from 31 July) VATupdate
- 1 Jan 2027E-invoicing mandatory for businesses with revenue of AED 50 million or more VATupdate
- 1 Jul 2027E-invoicing mandatory for businesses below AED 50 million VATupdate
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Cross-border marketplacesExpress integratorsGulf e-commerce sellersLogistics firms invoicing in the UAE
What to prepare
- Update Dubai landed-cost calculations for the AED 1,000 duty threshold
- Appoint an accredited e-invoicing provider by 30 October 2026 if UAE revenue is AED 50 million or more
- Confirm with Dubai Customs how the exemption applies to parcels cleared in other emirates
Our reading Dubai is lowering friction on parcels while war-related transport costs push the other way. The exemption is a Dubai measure; we did not find equivalent notices from other emirates.
Sources
- Dubai Customs exempts e-commerce shipments up to Dhs1,000 from customs duties · Gulf Today · 2026-08-05
- Dubai raises e-commerce customs duty exemption to AED 1,000 · VATupdate · 2026-09-12
- UAE defines e-invoicing scope and implementation timeline via two Ministerial Decisions · VATupdate · 2026-07-18
Hormuz fuel bill
In forceTaxChina (State Council; State Taxation Administration)
China makes platforms report seller identities and income every quarter
Since 1 October 2025, internet platforms serving China, including foreign platforms providing for-profit services there, must report the identity and income data of merchants and individuals selling through them to the tax authorities each quarter. Domestic operators cannot avoid the rule through offshore registration, and Amazon said it would report Chinese sellers' data. Penalties range from RMB 20,000 to RMB 500,000, with possible suspension for serious breaches.
For a parcel No change at the border, but Chinese sellers' real revenues become visible to the tax authority, which makes undervalued or informal export flows harder to sustain.
- 31 Oct 2026Quarterly identity and income report for Q3 2026 due (rule: within the month after quarter end) China Briefing
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Chinese cross-border sellersDomestic and foreign marketplaces with Chinese sellersExport logistics providers
What to prepare
- Check that seller identities in your onboarding and customs data match the entities sellers now report to Chinese tax authorities
- Align declared values in export and import data with platform sale prices, since gaps are easier to detect
- Budget for churn among small Chinese merchants facing a higher effective tax bill
Our reading The rule pushes Chinese e-commerce exporters towards formal, taxed structures. That favours larger sellers and formal export channels, and is likely to speed up consolidation of the long tail of small merchants that fed the direct-parcel model.
Sources
- New China platform information reporting rules: deadlines and compliance · China Briefing · 2025-10-22
- Online platforms file initial tax info · China Daily · 2025-10-18
Platforms go local
ProposedTrade and tariffsASEAN member states
ASEAN digital economy pact set for signature in Manila
ASEAN concluded negotiations on the Digital Economy Framework Agreement (DEFA) at the senior economic officials' meeting of 27 to 29 May 2026. It covers digital trade, cross-border e-commerce, interoperable digital payments, digital identity, cybersecurity and cross-border data flows. Signature is targeted for the 49th ASEAN Summit in Manila, for which the Philippines has declared 16 to 18 November special non-working days in the capital region.
For a parcel No tariff or tax change; over time, interoperable e-documents, payments and data rules could cut paperwork costs on intra-ASEAN parcels.
- 29 May 2026DEFA negotiations concluded (meeting of 27 to 29 May) Rajah & Tann Asia
- 16 Nov 202649th ASEAN Summit in Manila (16 to 18 November), targeted DEFA signature Daily Tribune
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Cross-border e-commerce platformsPosts and express operators in ASEANCustoms brokers
What to prepare
- Identify which ASEAN customs and invoice data flows could move to paperless exchange once DEFA work starts
- Do not count on DEFA to remove national parcel taxes: Thai duty, Vietnamese VAT and Indonesian price floors stay
- Track ratification country by country after November
Our reading Signature in November is likely, but the agreement still needs ratification and does not touch tariffs or consumption taxes. Its value for parcels lies in data and paperless trade, which favours operators that already run customs data pipelines.
Sources
- ASEAN Digital Economy Framework Agreement: negotiations concluded, targeted for signing in November 2026 · Rajah & Tann Asia · 2026-07-02
- NCR gets three non-working days for ASEAN Summit · Daily Tribune · 2026-09-23
- ASEAN to sign DEFA in November after concluding negotiations · Cebu Daily News
ASEAN rulebook
In forcePostalUnited Kingdom
UK universal postal service: Royal Mail under Ofcom investigation
Ofcom's 2025 reform lets Royal Mail deliver Second Class letters on alternate weekdays and relaxes targets from 2026-27 to 90% for First Class next day and 95% for Second Class within three days. On 1 June 2026 Ofcom opened an investigation after First Class reached 75.7% against a 93% target in 2025-26, and may impose a penalty. Ofcom expects the new delivery model to be in place by Christmas 2026 and the targets met by April 2027.
For a parcel Fewer letter rounds free capacity for parcels, but the transition through peak 2026 carries service risk for parcels on shared networks.
- 1 Jun 2026Ofcom opens investigation into 2025-26 delivery performance Ofcom
- 1 Dec 2026New delivery model expected to be fully implemented by Christmas 2026 (month only) Ofcom
- 1 Apr 2027Royal Mail expected to meet the revised targets (month only) Ofcom
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Royal MailCompeting parcel carriersRetailers and marketplaces shipping in the UK
What to prepare
- Keep a second carrier on key UK lanes through peak 2026 while the new delivery model is rolled out.
- Track Ofcom's findings and any penalty, which may shape service commitments in 2027 contracts.
Our reading The reform turns the universal service into a parcel strategy; a missed April 2027 target would bring political pressure on the new ownership and could reopen the regulatory settlement.
Sources
- Ofcom investigates Royal Mail's 2025/26 delivery performance · Ofcom · 2026-06-01
- Royal Mail performance · House of Commons Library · 2026-06-04
UK £135 gapNetworks consolidate
AdoptedCustomsItaly
Italy: national €2 fee on low-value parcels moved to 1 December
Italy has legislated a €2 contribution on each consignment under €150 imported from outside the EU, collected by the Customs Agency at import. It has been postponed three times, from 1 January to 1 July, then 1 October, and a decree examined by the Council of Ministers on 16 September 2026 moved it to 1 December 2026, to coordinate with the EU handling fee. Logistics groups have asked for it to be cancelled.
For a parcel A parcel entering through Italy could carry the €3 EU duty, the €2 EU fee and a further €2 national fee, unless Rome folds its fee into the EU one.
- 1 Dec 2026National €2 contribution per low-value consignment due to apply (further change possible) TrasportoEuropa
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Postal operatorsExpress integratorsNon-EU marketplacesCustoms brokers in Italy
What to prepare
- Prepare systems to add a per-consignment national charge for Italian imports from 1 December, but keep it switchable.
- Compare entry gateways for Italy-bound volume, since a national fee can shift flows to neighbouring countries.
Our reading A fourth postponement or a merger into the EU fee is plausible; the repeated delays show Rome weighing revenue against gateway diversion.
Sources
- Nuovo rinvio italiano sulla tassa per i pacchi extra-UE · TrasportoEuropa · 2026-09-16
- Tassa nazionale sui mini pacchi: rinvio al 1° dicembre 2026 · Fiscozen · 2026-09
End of de minimis
AdoptedLabourEuropean Union
Platform Work Directive: transposition deadline for app-based couriers
Directive (EU) 2024/2831 creates a presumption of employment where a digital labour platform exercises control or direction over the work, and sets rules on algorithmic management. Member states must transpose it by 2 December 2026. National drafts are still in progress: the Netherlands published a draft bill on 29 June 2026, Italy has approved a draft law and Germany is moving forward on transposition.
For a parcel Last-mile models that allocate drops to self-employed drivers through an app may face reclassification risk and higher labour costs per drop.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Delivery platformsLast-mile subcontractors using app-based driversCrowd-sourced delivery models
What to prepare
- Map which last-mile capacity is sourced through apps with algorithmic allocation, including subcontractors.
- Track national transposition laws in your main delivery markets, since the presumption tests may differ by country.
Our reading Several member states look set to miss the December deadline, so the practical exposure will arrive country by country through 2027.
Sources
- The Platform Work Act: implementing the EU Platform Work Directive in the Netherlands · Global Workplace Insider · 2026-09
- Italy approves draft law transposing the EU Platform Work Directive · Remote Work Europe · 2026
- Germany moves forward on transposing the Platform Work Directive · DLA Piper · 2026
AdoptedProduct safetyEuropean Union
New Product Liability Directive reaches fulfilment providers
Directive (EU) 2024/2853 replaces the 1985 product liability rules for products placed on the EU market from 9 December 2026. When a defective product causes damage, liability can extend beyond manufacturers and importers to fulfilment service providers and online platforms, wherever the responsible operator is based. Member states must transpose it into national law.
For a parcel A warehouse or fulfilment operator storing and shipping a non-EU seller's goods can be the defendant of last resort if a defective product injures a consumer.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Fulfilment service providersOnline marketplacesImportersEU warehouses serving non-EU sellers
What to prepare
- Review fulfilment contracts for indemnities, insurance and seller identification before 9 December 2026.
- Check product liability insurance cover for stored and shipped third-party goods.
- Tighten onboarding checks on non-EU sellers whose goods you hold in EU stock.
Our reading As platforms move stock into EU warehouses, liability follows the stock; logistics providers that cannot identify a solvent EU operator behind the goods will price that risk or refuse the volume.
Sources
- New EU product liability rules will apply to online platforms and software from December 2026 · European Commission, Transition Pathways · 2026-10-01
Platforms go local
In forceTrade and tariffsUnited States, Mexico and Canada
USMCA not renewed: yearly reviews, interim deals sought by year end
At the joint review on 1 July 2026 the United States did not agree to renew the USMCA in its current form. The agreement stays in force to 2036 but now faces a joint review every year, the next in July 2027. USTR Jamieson Greer has said he would like interim arrangements with Canada and with Mexico by the end of 2026, with rules of origin and other harder issues left to 2027; a fourth US-Mexico round was postponed to October without a date.
For a parcel Treaty preferences that still lower costs for regional parcels, such as Canada's and Mexico's courier thresholds for US goods, are now open to renegotiation every year.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
North American cross-border shippersCouriers and posts on intra-regional lanesManufacturers using regional supply chains
What to prepare
- Replace multi-year price commitments on North American lanes with change-of-law clauses tied to each July review
- Keep proof-of-origin and supplier data ready, since rules of origin are at the centre of the talks
- Track the Mexico round 4 date and any interim text for customs or e-commerce provisions
Our reading An interim deal with Mexico is more likely than with Canada, where Greer said on 25 September he saw no urgency. De minimis is not a confirmed workstream of the review, so low-value relief inside the region is likely to stay one-way.
Sources
- Ambassador Greer Issues Statement on the USMCA Joint Review · Office of the United States Trade Representative · 2026-07-01
- USMCA 2026 Joint Review: United States declines to extend Agreement, triggering annual reviews · White & Case · 2026-07-02
- US trade chief Greer aiming for 'interim arrangements' on USMCA by year end · WTAQ (Reuters) · 2026-07-22
- USMCA Joint Review Tracker · International Compliance Professionals Association (ICPA) · 2026-09-27
USMCA leash
In forcePostalUniversal Postal Union
UPU's 2026-2030 pay system moves small packets to per-item rates
The 28th Universal Postal Congress in Dubai adopted an Integrated Remuneration System for 2026 to 2030: letter-post pay is based on item content rather than bulk weight, small packets move to a per-item method by 2027, and parcel rates can increasingly be self-declared from domestic tariffs and linked to delivery performance. Congress also added a delivered-duty-paid (DDP) service to the product plan and raised mandatory item scans from six to twelve. The UPU says it prepared DDP solutions for EU countries ahead of the EU's July 2026 change.
For a parcel A light small packet will cost the sending post more per item, which raises the floor price of the cheapest postal e-commerce channel.
- 1 Jul 2026EU low-value duty applies; UPU says it prepared DDP solutions for EU destinations ahead of it Universal Postal Union
- 1 Jan 2027Small packets move to per-item remuneration (year only; month not stated) Universal Postal Union
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Postal operatorsPlatforms and sellers using postal small packetsCross-border consolidators
What to prepare
- Re-cost postal small-packet products per item rather than per kilo for 2027
- Check partner posts' readiness for twelve scan events and DDP
- Compare postal DDP with commercial channels on EU and US lanes
Our reading Per-item pay removes the bulk-weight advantage that made posts the cheapest route for light Chinese parcels. Combined with the end of de minimis, it narrows the price gap between postal and commercial channels.
Sources
- UPU leaves Dubai with bold new outlook · Universal Postal Union · 2025-12-16
- Readying the network for a regulatory overhaul: three trends shaping the postal landscape · Universal Postal Union · 2026-09-28
- Decisions of the 2025 Dubai Congress · Universal Postal Union
End of de minimisNetworks consolidate
In forceCustomsEuropean Union
EU customs reform: platforms become the importer
Regulation (EU) 2026/2108 rewrites the Union Customs Code: sellers and platforms facilitating distance sales from outside the EU are treated as the importer, responsible for customs data, charges and product compliance. It creates an EU Customs Authority in Lille and an EU Customs Data Hub replacing more than 111 national IT systems. Repeated breaches can cost 1% to 6% of the value of goods imported over the previous 12 months.
For a parcel Liability for the declaration, the duty and the product's compliance moves to the platform or seller, and carriers become data suppliers to a single EU hub.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Non-EU marketplacesNon-EU sellersPostal operatorsExpress integratorsCustoms brokers and indirect representatives
What to prepare
- Map which contracts make you the declarant or representative today, and renegotiate liability before importer obligations apply in September 2027.
- Prepare item-level data feeds (classification, origin, value, seller identity) to the format the Data Hub will expect from July 2028.
- Price importer-of-record, representation and data-validation services for non-EU sellers facing fines of up to 6% of annual import value.
Our reading The legal shift is settled, the IT is not; the Data Hub date is where slippage is most likely, and every delay extends the interim duty and national workarounds.
Sources
- Regulation (EU) 2026/2108 · EUR-Lex · 2026-09-19
- European Union publishes new Customs Code: phased transformation begins with e-commerce and data-led compliance · VATupdate · 2026-09-27
- EU Customs Reform · European Commission, DG Taxation and Customs Union · 2026-10-01
- Deal reached on Union Customs Code reform · European Parliament · 2026-03-23
- EU Parliament approves sweeping customs reform targeting e-commerce imports · EU Reporter · 2026-09-16
EU customs reformEnd of de minimisPlatforms go local
AdoptedTaxBrazil
Brazil's CBS consumption tax applies to small imports from 2027
From 1 January 2027 the federal consumption tax CBS takes full effect and PIS and Cofins end; from 2029 to 2033 the subnational IBS gradually replaces ICMS and ISS. Low-value international purchases, including those up to US$50, will be subject to CBS from 2027, with one estimate putting the federal burden at about 9.43%. Customs systems are being adapted: Remessa Conforme platforms must show IBS and CBS at checkout under a May 2026 ordinance that also grades them Gold, Silver or Bronze, and the import declaration (DUIMP) gained item-level IBS and CBS fields on 27 September.
For a parcel The zero federal import tax does not mean zero federal tax: from 2027 a small parcel will carry CBS, and checkout data must show it.
- 14 May 2026Portaria Coana 193/2026: Remessa Conforme platforms must itemise IBS, CBS, ICMS and other charges; Gold, Silver and Bronze compliance tiers Contábeis
- 27 Sep 2026DUIMP import declaration adds item-level IBS and CBS fields Dinastia Contábil
- 1 Jan 2027CBS takes full effect and PIS and Cofins end; CBS applies to low-value international purchases Contábeis
- 1 Jan 2029IBS starts gradually replacing ICMS and ISS, with full transition by 2033 Correio Braziliense
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Cross-border platformsCouriers and Remessa Conforme carriersBrazilian importers
What to prepare
- Model Brazil landed cost for 2027 with CBS on top of ICMS, even at the zero import-tax rate
- Align checkout and clearance data with the Remessa Conforme ordinance to protect your tier rating
- Write tax-change clauses into 2027 contracts with platforms and shippers
Our reading CBS gives Brasília a way to tax small imports without reopening the politically costly import tax, so the parity debate is likely to move here after the election. The final CBS rate is not yet set, so 2027 prices should carry a margin for it.
Sources
- CBS will tax international purchases in 2027 · Contábeis · 2026-07-02
- How the tax reform affects your pocket from 2027 · Correio Braziliense · 2026-08-20
- Remessa Conforme will have new requirements on IBS and CBS · Contábeis · 2026-05-14
- DUIMP changes on 27/09/2026 to receive IBS and CBS · Dinastia Contábil · 2026-09-24
LatAm split
AdoptedTaxJapan (National Diet; Ministry of Finance)
Japan ends the ¥10,000 consumption-tax exemption on imports in April 2028
Japan's 2026 tax reform, passed by the Diet on 31 March 2026, ends the consumption-tax exemption on imported goods of ¥10,000 or less per item from 1 April 2028. Foreign sellers with more than ¥10 million a year of such sales must register, and platforms with annual transactions above ¥5 billion become deemed suppliers, collecting tax at the point of sale. The 60% valuation discount for personal-use imports is also being abolished; its start date is not confirmed in our sources.
For a parcel From April 2028, a parcel under ¥10,000 either arrives with tax already collected by a registered seller or platform, or pays import consumption tax at the border.
- 1 Jan 2027Start of the January to March 2027 period used to designate large platforms as deemed suppliers PwC Japan
- 1 Oct 2027Registration opens for foreign sellers of low-value goods PwC Japan
- 1 Apr 2028Consumption tax on low-value imports collected at point of sale; border exemption ends PwC Japan
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Foreign marketplacesCross-border sellersExpress and postal operators serving Japan
What to prepare
- Add a field to Japanese declarations showing whether tax was collected at sale and by which registered seller or platform
- Ask platform customers whether they will cross the ¥5 billion threshold measured on January to March 2027
- Recalculate landed cost for personal-use imports once the 60% valuation discount ends
Our reading With the law passed, slippage is unlikely; the risk is operational, in matching parcels to registration numbers at the border. Like the EU and UK models, it moves the tax point to the platform, which favours duty-paid flows and in-market stock.
Sources
- Japan: 2026 tax reform bills passed by National Diet · KPMG · 2026-03-31
- Japan Tax Update: 2026 tax reform · PwC Japan · 2026-01-14
End of de minimis
AdoptedTaxEuropean Union
VAT in the Digital Age: one registration, but no deemed supplier for goods
The ViDA package, adopted in March 2025, extends the One-Stop Shop so that more B2C supplies can be declared through a single EU registration, and introduces a new scheme for moving one's own goods between member states. The plan to make platforms the deemed supplier for intra-EU goods sales was dropped, and mandatory use of the Import One-Stop Shop (IOSS) was moved to the customs reform.
For a parcel Platforms storing stock in several EU countries will be able to report VAT on those transfers centrally, which lowers the cost of the warehouse model that is replacing direct parcels.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Marketplaces moving stock into EU warehousesNon-EU sellersFulfilment providers
What to prepare
- Review IOSS processes ahead of the 2027 clarifications, since IOSS data now also feeds duty and handling fee checks.
- Model multi-country stock placement under the 2028 single registration rules when choosing fulfilment locations.
Our reading ViDA quietly favours the EU-warehouse model; combined with the €3 duty and €2 fee, it adds to the pull of stock into Poland, the Netherlands and Germany.
Sources
- VAT in the Digital Age (ViDA) · European Commission, DG Taxation and Customs Union · 2026-10-01
- ViDA formally adopted · PwC Netherlands · 2025-03
Platforms go localEU customs reform
AdoptedSustainabilityEuropean Union
EU ETS2: carbon price on road fuel delayed to 2028
The second EU emissions trading system will put a carbon price on fuels for buildings and road transport, charged upstream on fuel suppliers. In March 2026 the Council formally adopted amendments that postpone its start by one year to 1 January 2028, while auctioning of allowances begins in 2027.
For a parcel From 2028 diesel for line-haul and last-mile vans carries a carbon cost passed through by fuel suppliers, widening the cost gap with electric vans.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Road hauliersLast-mile van fleetsParcel carriers with diesel fleets
What to prepare
- Add an ETS2 scenario to 2028 fuel surcharge and fleet electrification plans.
- Review fuel surcharge clauses so a carbon cost can be passed on transparently.
Our reading Political pressure from some member states to soften ETS2 continues, so the 2028 start and the price level remain open to further change.
Sources
- EU officially adopts the 2040 climate target, postpones ETS 2 by one year · International Carbon Action Partnership · 2026-03-10
- Italy, Czech Republic push EU to ease carbon rules as energy costs rise · Carbon Herald · 2026
Hormuz fuel bill
ConsultationPostalEuropean Union
EU Delivery Act: postal and parcel rules under review
The Commission plans to update the rules on postal services by merging the Postal Services Directive 97/67/EC and the Cross-border Parcel Delivery Regulation 2018/644 into one act. The review covers the universal service, cross-border parcel quality and tracking, user complaints and licensing. A call for evidence and a public consultation ran in late 2025; trade press reported in June 2026 that the proposal had slipped to 2027.
For a parcel Possible EU-wide obligations on tracking, complaints and authorisation for parcel carriers, and a redefined universal service that may shrink letters and refocus on parcels.
- 1 Jan 2027Commission proposal now expected in 2027 (year only, per trade press; earlier planning pointed to the last quarter of 2026) CEP-Research
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Postal operatorsParcel carriersNational regulatorsE-commerce retailers
What to prepare
- Contribute data on universal service costs and cross-border parcel quality while the proposal is still being drafted.
- Assess how a common EU authorisation or complaints regime would change compliance costs across your national licences.
Our reading The delay reduces near-term risk but leaves universal service funding unresolved while letter volumes fall; expect the customs reform's impact on inbound postal flows to feed into the draft.
Sources
- EU Delivery Act: update of rules on postal services · European Parliament Legislative Train · 2025-12-11
- A new EU Delivery Act expected by the end of the year · Ecommerce Europe · 2026-04-14
- Brussels delays new EU Delivery Act until 2027 · CEP-Research · 2026-06-01
Networks consolidate
AdoptedTrade and tariffsUnited States and China
US-China truce extended to 10 January 2027, parcels left out
On 24 September Washington and Beijing extended the pause on tariff increases agreed after the October 2025 Busan summit from 10 November 2026 to 10 January 2027. They then agreed tariff cuts on $60 billion of goods, $30 billion each way; the American list includes small appliances, tableware, blankets, toys, holiday decorations and children's car seats. Nothing published reopens duty-free entry for low-value shipments, and we found no start date for the cuts.
For a parcel Some typical e-commerce categories may become cheaper to import in bulk, but each China-origin parcel still pays normal duty plus the 12.5% Section 301 tariff.
- 24 Sep 2026Truce extended from 10 November 2026 to 10 January 2027 S&P Global
- 28 Sep 2026Tariff cuts on $60 billion of goods announced, $30 billion each way (start date not published) The Vibes
- 10 Jan 2027Extended truce expires unless renewed S&P Global
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Chinese cross-border platformsTranspacific air cargoExpress integratorsUS importers of consumer goods
What to prepare
- Treat 10 January 2027 as a repricing date for transpacific capacity and any contract priced on current tariffs
- Map your top SKUs against the American list of reduced tariffs once it is published with codes and dates
- Keep options open between direct parcel and bulk import plus US fulfilment for China-origin goods
Our reading The truces are getting shorter and cover bulk trade in non-sensitive goods, not the parcel channel. Slippage of the tariff cuts is likely until Washington publishes lines and an effective date.
Sources
- US says trade truce with China extended till Jan. 10, 2027, ahead of Trump-Xi meet · S&P Global · 2026-09-24
- China - US agree tariff cuts on US$60b of goods as trade truce extended · The Vibes · 2026-09-28
US-China trucePlatforms go local
AdoptedPlatformsSouth Korea (National Assembly; Korea Fair Trade Commission)
South Korea makes large foreign marketplaces name a local representative
Amendments to Korea's E-Commerce Act, passed by the National Assembly on 30 December 2025, require foreign e-commerce operators above sales or user thresholds to designate a Korea-based representative for consumer complaints, disputes and Fair Trade Commission investigations. Other provisions, including review disclosure and seller identity checks, applied from 21 July 2026; the representative requirement applies from 21 January 2027. The duty-free limit for personal overseas purchases stays at US$150 (US$200 for US goods), which the government said in 2024 it was reviewing.
For a parcel No change at customs; the marketplaces behind Korean cross-border parcels become directly answerable to the Korean regulator.
- 21 Jul 2026Main provisions of the amended E-Commerce Act take effect Tech Times
- 21 Jan 2027Foreign operators above the thresholds must have a designated Korea-based representative Tech Times
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Foreign marketplacesCross-border sellers
What to prepare
- Confirm which platform customers will appoint Korean representatives and how complaints and returns will be routed
- Expect regulator requests for shipment and delivery records to arrive through platform representatives
- Keep the US$150 duty-free limit on the watch list
Our reading Seoul is regulating the platform rather than the parcel. A cut in the US$150 limit has been discussed since 2024 without a decision, and we found no date for one.
Sources
- E-Commerce Act amendment passes National Assembly plenary (press release) · Korea Fair Trade Commission (korea.kr) · 2025-12-30
- South Korea e-commerce rules force Temu and Shein to answer for Korean consumers · Tech Times · 2026-07-15
- Gov't considering lowering duty-free limit for overseas direct purchases to below US$150 · BusinessKorea · 2024-05-16
Platforms go local
In forceTaxSaudi Arabia (Zakat, Tax and Customs Authority, ZATCA)
Saudi Arabia: no duty under SAR 1,000, VAT on everything, e-invoicing widens
ZATCA exempts personal online purchases below SAR 1,000, including shipping and insurance, from customs duty, but charges VAT on the full declared amount including shipping, insurance and customs fees. Since October 2024, individuals' online-store shipments up to SAR 1,000 carry a SAR 15 declaration processing fee. On 24 July 2026 ZATCA announced Wave 25 of e-invoicing integration for taxpayers whose VAT-able revenue exceeded SAR 187,500 in any year from 2022 to 2025, with integration due by 1 February 2027.
For a parcel A low-value parcel into Saudi Arabia pays no duty below SAR 1,000 but pays VAT on its full landed value plus a SAR 15 declaration fee.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Cross-border marketplacesExpress integratorsSaudi SME sellersLogistics service providers
What to prepare
- Quote Saudi landed cost VAT-inclusive, including shipping and the SAR 15 fee
- Check whether Saudi entities in your group or partner network fall into Wave 25 and must integrate by 1 February 2027
- Provide consignees with the customs declaration on request, as ZATCA advises
Our reading Halving the e-invoicing threshold brings small sellers and service firms into real-time reporting, giving ZATCA a fuller picture of domestic e-commerce. We found no announced change to the SAR 1,000 duty threshold.
Sources
- E-Store Customers: customs duty and VAT on online purchases · Zakat, Tax and Customs Authority (ZATCA)
- ZATCA issues the Fees Rules on Customs Services provided at customs ports · Zakat, Tax and Customs Authority (ZATCA) · 2024-09-06
- ZATCA determines the criteria for selecting the targeted taxpayers in Wave 25 of e-invoicing · Zakat, Tax and Customs Authority (ZATCA) · 2026-07-24
In forceCustomsCanada
Canada keeps one-way courier thresholds and extends CARM courier relief
Under CUSMA, courier shipments from the US or Mexico enter Canada free of duty up to C$150 and free of tax up to C$40; shipments from other origins keep a C$20 combined threshold, and postal shipments do not get the CUSMA courier thresholds. Courier low-value shipments up to C$3,300 get simplified release and accounting. CBSA Customs Notice 26-13 extends operational measures for releasing commercial goods in the courier programme under CARM for 12 months from 12 June 2026, while importers register in the CARM portal, obtain a BN15 and post security for release prior to payment.
For a parcel US-origin courier parcels into Canada keep higher thresholds than postal parcels, while commercial importers must complete CARM registration before the temporary measures end.
- 12 Jun 2026CBSA extends courier low value shipment measures under CARM for 12 months GHY International
- 12 Jun 2027Extended courier measures due to end (12 months from 12 June 2026; exact end date not confirmed) GHY International
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Couriers in the CLVS programmeCanada PostUS and Mexican sellersCustoms brokers
What to prepare
- Push commercial shippers to register in CARM and post release-prior-to-payment security well before June 2027
- Route eligible US and Mexican goods by courier rather than post where the CUSMA thresholds apply
- Remember that Canada's 2026 surtax on US goods applies below these thresholds
Our reading The thresholds are unlikely to change before the USMCA review settles, but the end of the CARM measures in mid-2027 is a hard date for courier operators with unregistered commercial clients.
Sources
- Overview of key changes affecting imports (CUSMA) · Canada Border Services Agency
- CBSA Extends CLVS Operational Measures for Commercial Goods Release Under CARM · GHY International · 2026-06-16
USMCA leash
In forcePlatformsVietnam (National Assembly; Government)
Vietnam requires foreign marketplaces to post VND 20 billion deposits
Vietnam's Law on E-commerce (Law 122/2025/QH15) took effect on 1 July 2026 with Decree 248/2026/ND-CP. Foreign platforms with a .vn domain, a Vietnamese-language interface or 100,000 transactions a year with Vietnamese buyers must register; foreign intermediary platforms with ordering functions must hold an escrow deposit of at least VND 20 billion in a Vietnamese bank and name a Vietnam-resident representative. Low-value express imports have paid 10% VAT since 18 February 2025.
For a parcel Cross-border orders into Vietnam increasingly come through platforms with a legal presence and a deposit at stake, which raises pressure for accurate seller, value and VAT data on each parcel.
- 1 Jul 2026Law on E-commerce and Decree 248/2026/ND-CP take effect KPMG
- 30 Jun 2027Deadline for platforms registered before 1 July 2026 to bring their dossiers into line BizConsult
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Foreign marketplacesCross-border sellersExpress and postal operators delivering in Vietnam
What to prepare
- Confirm which platform customers are registered in Vietnam and have posted the deposit
- Build VAT on low-value express imports into landed-cost quotes
- Plan for platforms' updated dossiers before 30 June 2027
Our reading The deposit and resident representative make Vietnam costly for platforms that only ship direct, which tilts them towards local entities and local stock. Enforcement against unregistered platforms is the variable to watch.
Sources
- Vietnam: Law on e-commerce 2025 effective July 1, 2026 · KPMG · 2026-06-24
- New regulations on e-commerce activities under the Law on E-commerce 2025 and Decree 248/2026/ND-CP · BizConsult · 2026-09
- Vietnam: Electronic Commerce Law targeting cross-border platforms · Baker McKenzie · 2026-02-26
- Vietnam imposes VAT on low-value imported goods · VietnamPlus · 2025-02-18
ASEAN rulebookPlatforms go local
In forceTaxUS states (Colorado, Minnesota)
US state delivery fees: Colorado raises its charge, others weigh one
Colorado's retail delivery fee rose from $0.28 to $0.31 per delivery on 1 July 2026, for motor-vehicle deliveries containing at least one taxable item, and runs at that rate to 30 June 2027 with yearly inflation adjustments. Minnesota charges $0.50 on deliveries of $100 or more by retailers with over $1 million of Minnesota sales. In May 2026 proposals were reported in Vermont, Virginia, Washington and New York; we could not confirm whether any passed.
For a parcel Each taxable home delivery in these states carries a fixed fee that the retailer must collect, show and remit, separate from sales tax.
- 1 Jul 2026Colorado retail delivery fee rises to $0.31 per delivery Sales Tax Institute
- 1 Jul 2027Next possible Colorado inflation adjustment (current rate applies to 30 June 2027) Sovos
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Online retailers and marketplacesDelivery platformsCarriers invoicing on behalf of retailers
What to prepare
- Make checkout and invoicing systems able to add state delivery fees by destination and order value
- Track state legislative sessions for new fees in 2027
- Check marketplace-facilitator rules on who collects the fee
Our reading The amounts are small, but each new state adds a compliance line for every order, and fixed per-delivery charges weigh most on low-value orders.
Sources
- Colorado Increases Retail Delivery Fee Rate, Effective July 1, 2026 · Sales Tax Institute · 2026-05-27
- Colorado Retail Delivery Fee Update: Increase to $0.31 in 2026 · Sovos · 2026-05-04
- Retail Delivery Fee · Minnesota Department of Revenue
- Every Time You Order Online, More States Want a Cut. The Retail Delivery Fee Is Spreading · The Sales Tax People · 2026-05-18
In forceCustomsMexico
Mexico taxes Asian parcels at 33.5% and tariffs non-treaty goods
Since 15 August 2025, rule 3.7.35 of Mexico's foreign trade rules applies a 33.5% global rate to courier imports from countries without a trade agreement with Mexico, against 19% before. US and Canadian courier shipments keep preferential treatment: exempt under $50, 17% from $50 to $117 and 19% above. Since 1 January 2026 tariffs of 5% to 50% apply on 1,463 tariff lines from non-agreement countries such as China, India and South Korea, with textiles at 25% to 35%.
For a parcel A direct parcel from China into Mexico pays a third of its value in import taxes, so platforms now ship containers and deliver from Mexican warehouses.
- 1 Jul 2027Next USMCA joint review, which frames the preferential courier treatment for US and Canadian goods (month only) White & Case
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Asian cross-border platformsCouriers and parcel operators in MexicoMexican fulfilment and last-mile providers
What to prepare
- Sell container clearance, bonded or local warehousing and domestic last mile rather than cross-border air parcels for Asian origins
- Audit origin documents on US-fulfilled flows to keep the sub-$50 exemption
- Plan for the 2027 customs reform, which tightens valuation controls
Our reading A year on, Mexican logistics firms say the rate relocated rather than stopped Asian volume, with stock moving into local warehouses. We see no sign that Mexico will ease the rate while it is aligning with Washington on Chinese imports.
Sources
- Mexico raises the import tax on parcel shipments to 33.5% · The Logistics World · 2025-08-04
- Mexico publishes decree adjusting tariffs on countries without a trade agreement · Expansión · 2025-12-29
- One year of the 33.5% rate on parcel imports: what has changed in e-commerce · T21 / TyT · 2026-08-27
- SAT updates rules for courier and parcel imports: 33.5% and 19% global rates · Calatrava Consultores · 2025-07-30
- USMCA 2026 Joint Review: United States declines to extend Agreement, triggering annual reviews · White & Case · 2026-07-02
USMCA leashLatAm splitPlatforms go local
AdoptedCustomsUnited States
US de minimis repeal written into statute from 1 July 2027
Section 70531 of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1) ends duty-free de minimis entry for commercial shipments from all countries from 1 July 2027. The same section has allowed civil penalties since August 2025 of up to $5,000 for a first violation and $10,000 for each later one against anyone who enters, or facilitates entry of, goods under the exemption in breach of customs law. CBP's current suspension is administrative; the statute makes it permanent.
For a parcel From mid-2027 no future administration can restore duty-free low-value entry by rule: it would take a new act of Congress.
- 1 Jul 2027Statutory repeal of the de minimis exemption for commercial shipments takes effect Benesch
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Cross-border marketplaces and sellersExpress integratorsPostal operatorsCustoms brokers
What to prepare
- Plan US-bound networks on the assumption that duty-paid, fully entered parcels are permanent, not a temporary regime
- Review contracts and pricing that assume a return of de minimis, and remove that assumption from 2027 budgets
- Assess bulk import plus domestic fulfilment for best-selling items where per-parcel clearance cost exceeds margin
Our reading The July 2027 date matters less operationally, since CBP already applies the suspension to all modes, than politically: it removes the option of a quick reversal after the November 2026 midterms. Any new alternative duty programme would need legislation, which we see no sign of.
Sources
- Customs De Minimis Ending In 2027: Big Beautiful Bill Impact Analysis for Supply Chains · Benesch · 2025-07-11
- U.S. CBP indefinitely suspends de minimis exemption for all modes of importation; new postal entry procedures · KPMG TaxNewsFlash · 2026-06-24
End of de minimis
In forcePlatformsIndonesia (Ministry of Trade)
Indonesia keeps a US$100 floor on cross-border goods sold online
Trade Minister Regulation 19 of 2026 (Permendag 19/2026), in force since 8 June 2026, keeps the US$100 FOB per-unit minimum price for imported goods sold cross-border on platforms, unless listed on a government exemption list that had not been published at enactment. Platforms must show domestic products in the first row of search results and suspend sellers who miss licensing deadlines. Foreign platforms with at least 1,000 consumer transactions, 1,000 packages a year or 1% of domestic internet traffic must appoint a representative office.
For a parcel Direct cross-border parcels of items priced under US$100 per unit are effectively shut out of Indonesian platforms, which moves volume to bulk imports and local sellers.
- 8 Jun 2026Permendag 19/2026 enters into force; new sellers have six months from registration to obtain licences DFDL
- 8 Dec 2027End of the 18-month compliance window for sellers registered before 8 June 2026 (our calculation from the regulation's start date) DFDL
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Foreign marketplacesCross-border sellersIndonesian couriers
What to prepare
- Treat Indonesia as a local-stock market for low-priced goods: price bulk import and in-country fulfilment instead of direct parcels
- Check licensing status of the sellers you serve, since platforms must suspend those past their deadline
- Watch for publication of the exemption list for goods under US$100
Our reading The floor is a market-access rule rather than a tax, so it cannot be absorbed at checkout. It confirms Indonesia as the strictest large ASEAN market for direct cross-border parcels.
Sources
- Indonesia e-commerce regulation: key changes explained (Permendag 19/2026) · DFDL · 2026-06-24
ASEAN rulebookEnd of de minimis
In forceCustomsChina (Ministry of Finance, General Administration of Customs, State Taxation Administration)
China extends tax-free returns for e-commerce exports to end-2027
Goods exported under China's cross-border e-commerce customs codes 1210, 9610, 9710 and 9810 between 1 January 2026 and 31 December 2027 can be shipped back within six months of export free of import duty, import VAT and consumption tax, provided they are unsold stock or customer returns in original condition (food excluded). Any export VAT refund must be repaid first. Since 1 April 2026, such returns can re-enter through any customs office in China, not only the office of export.
For a parcel An unsold or returned item can go back to China tax-free through the nearest customs office, which lowers the cost of consolidated reverse flows from overseas warehouses.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Chinese cross-border sellersOverseas warehouse operatorsReverse logistics providersFreight forwarders
What to prepare
- Offer consolidated returns-to-China from destination hubs, priced against local liquidation or disposal
- Keep item-level records linking each return to its original export code and return reason (platform records, refusal notices)
- Plan consolidations around the six-month window from the export date
Our reading Beijing is lowering the exit cost of holding stock abroad, which supports the shift from direct parcels to overseas warehouses. The relief has been renewed twice since it was introduced in 2023, so a further extension after 2027 is plausible but not announced.
Sources
- China Monthly Tax Brief: February 2026 (Announcement [2026] No. 16 on returned cross-border e-commerce exports) · China Briefing · 2026-03-11
- China to expand cross-customs return policy for e-commerce exports · State Council of the PRC (english.gov.cn) · 2026-03-15
- Three departments set out tax policy for returned cross-border e-commerce exports · Sina Finance · 2026-02-11
Platforms go local
In forceSustainabilityEuropean Union
EU packaging regulation: empty space limit for e-commerce boxes
The Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation (EU) 2025/40 has applied since 12 August 2026. Non-EU companies shipping directly to EU consumers must appoint an authorised representative for producer responsibility, harmonised labels follow from 2028, and from 1 January 2030 operators filling transport or e-commerce packaging must keep the empty space ratio at or below 50%, with filler counted as empty space.
For a parcel Smaller, better-fitted boxes reduce volumetric weight per parcel, which changes carrier revenue on dimensional pricing and van and trailer fill.
- 12 Aug 2026General application of the regulation Latham & Watkins
- 1 Feb 2028Commission due to publish harmonised calculation methods for empty space (month only, per trade press) Packaging Gateway
- 12 Aug 2028Harmonised material composition label required (or later, depending on implementing acts) Latham & Watkins
- 1 Jan 2030Maximum 50% empty space ratio for transport and e-commerce packaging Latham & Watkins
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
E-commerce retailersFulfilment centresNon-EU distance sellersParcel carriers
What to prepare
- Measure the empty space ratio of current box sizes against the 50% limit and plan carton range changes before 2030.
- Ask non-EU sellers in your fulfilment network to show their authorised representative arrangements.
- Review dimensional-weight tariffs, since right-sized packaging will reduce billable volume.
Our reading The 2030 limit looks distant but carton and packing-line changes take years; some early sources cited a 40% threshold, while the adopted text sets 50%.
Sources
- European Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation: Summary of Provisions and New Guidance · Latham & Watkins · 2026-04-24
- EU sets 50% empty space cap for e-commerce packaging · Packaging Gateway · 2026-04-13
- New EU rules on packaging enter into application · European Commission, DG Environment · 2026-08-11
- EU Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation: New Compliance Requirements for E-Commerce · Greenberg Traurig · 2025-08-28
In forceCustomsEuropean Union
EU €3 duty per tariff line on parcels under €150
Since 1 July 2026 the EU charges a flat €3 customs duty on low-value e-commerce consignments that used to enter duty-free under the €150 threshold. The duty is due on each different category of item in a parcel, identified by tariff subheading: the Council's example of one silk blouse and two wool blouses pays €6. It is an interim measure that runs to 1 July 2028 and can be extended.
For a parcel Every low-value parcel from outside the EU now carries at least €3 of duty per tariff line, so item-level classification decides the landed cost.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Non-EU marketplacesNon-EU web shops, including UK sellersPostal operatorsExpress integratorsCustoms brokers
What to prepare
- Capture the tariff subheading for every order line at checkout and pass it to the declarant, since the duty counts categories, not units.
- Reprice single-line, low-ticket products where €3 is a large share of the basket, or bundle them into fewer tariff lines.
- Write into platform and merchant contracts who calculates, collects and remits the duty, and who bears it on refused parcels.
Our reading The 2028 date is a hand-over to the Data Hub regime, not a sunset; if the Hub slips, expect the interim duty to be extended rather than dropped.
Sources
- Council gives final green light to new customs duty rules for small parcels · Council of the European Union · 2026-02-11
- EU Customs Reform · European Commission, DG Taxation and Customs Union · 2026-10-01
End of de minimisEU customs reform
In forceTrade and tariffsUnited States
US rebuilds tariffs on Section 301 after IEEPA and Section 122
After the Supreme Court struck down the IEEPA tariffs on 20 February 2026, a 10% Section 122 surcharge applied from 24 February until it expired on 24 July. It was replaced the same day by Section 301 tariffs tied to forced-labour import enforcement: 12.5% on products of China, Brazil, Vietnam and 35 other economies, 10% on Canada, Mexico, the UK, India and others, with USMCA goods of Canada and Mexico entered duty-free, Section 232 goods, pharmaceuticals and civil aircraft excluded. Refunds of IEEPA duties run through CBP's phased CAPE process, and some remain tied up in the courts.
For a parcel A China-origin parcel now pays 12.5% on top of normal duties, and the rate depends on proven origin, so supplier and origin data set the landed cost.
- 24 Jul 2026Section 122 surcharge expires and Section 301 tariffs of 10% or 12.5% on 60 economies take effect Global Trade Alert
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Cross-border marketplaces and sellersExpress integratorsCustoms brokersImporters of record
What to prepare
- Update landed-cost engines with the Section 301 rate by origin and the exclusion annexes, and check USMCA claims on Canadian and Mexican goods
- Check whether IEEPA and Section 122 duties paid on your entries are eligible for refund, and track protest deadlines (180 days from liquidation)
- Add change-of-law clauses to US inbound contracts, since the legal basis of the tariffs has changed three times in 2026
Our reading The legal basis has changed but the tariff level on small parcels has not fallen, so planning should assume a durable 10% to 12.5% layer. The court challenges to Section 122 and the pending refunds show legal risk, but they create cash recovery opportunities rather than a route back to duty-free parcels.
Sources
- Forced-Labour Section 301 Tariffs on 60 Economies Take Effect on 24 July: An Overview of the Final Action · Global Trade Alert · 2026-07-24
- Fact Sheet: USTR Section 301 Action in Response to the Failure of 60 Economies to Ban Imports Produced with Forced Labor · Office of the United States Trade Representative · 2026-07
- A Tale of Tariff Substitution · Kroll · 2026-09-09
- Months after IEEPA tariffs were struck down, some refunds remain caught between Customs and the courts · KESQ (Stacker) · 2026-09-22
- Tax Insights: US Court of International Trade strikes down section 122 tariffs · PwC Canada · 2026-05-22
US-China truceEnd of de minimis
In forceTrade and tariffsUnited States
US 50% Section 338 duty and import bans hit Canadian goods
Under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, a 50% duty has applied since 22 August 2026 to about $20 billion of Canadian goods across 554 tariff lines, including alcohol, dairy, maple syrup, plywood and ice hockey equipment, with no exemption for USMCA-qualifying goods. Proclamations signed on 8 September widened the duty list from 15 September (adding items such as cheese, furniture and lighting) and banned imports of certain Canadian alcohol, dairy products and motorcycles over 800 cc from 29 September.
For a parcel A Canadian parcel of maple syrup, cheese or hockey gear to an American buyer pays 50% on top of clearance costs, and some alcohol and dairy can no longer be shipped at all.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Canadian online sellersCanada Post and couriers on the Canada-US laneUS importers
What to prepare
- Screen Canada-to-US parcels against the Section 338 lists and the banned categories before induction
- Advise Canadian shippers to move affected categories into US warehouse stock or to non-US markets
- Watch for further proclamations, which have come at two- to three-week intervals
Our reading The move from duties to bans shows the instrument can escalate quickly and without USMCA protection, so the Canada-US e-commerce lane should be priced with short tenors. Small Canadian exporters are the most exposed.
Sources
- Fifty Percent Section 338 Tariffs on Many Canadian Goods Effective August 22 · Davis Wright Tremaine · 2026-08-27
- From Duties to Import Bans: President Trump Escalates Section 338 Actions Against Canadian Goods · Troutman Pepper Locke · 2026-09
USMCA leash
In forceTrade and tariffsCanada
Canada's counter-tariffs reach low-value US parcels
Since 8 September 2026 Canada has applied surtaxes of 15%, 25% and 50% to C$27.6 billion of US goods, including steel, aluminium, furniture, apparel, appliances, dairy and seafood. CBSA guidance (Customs Notice 26-23) says the surtax applies even to goods that would otherwise qualify for relief under the Postal Imports Remission Order or the Courier Imports Remission Order, so low-value parcels from US retailers are not carved out.
For a parcel A US-origin parcel of covered goods now owes surtax in Canada even below the C$40 and C$150 thresholds, so it must be accounted for and charged.
- 8 Sep 2026Canadian surtaxes on C$27.6 billion of US goods take effect, including on low-value postal and courier shipments GHY International
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
US online retailers selling to CanadaCouriers and Canada Post on inbound US flowsCustoms brokers
What to prepare
- Update Canada-bound landed-cost calculators with surtax by tariff line and origin marking, including for low-value orders
- Make sure DDP checkouts collect the surtax up front to avoid refused deliveries
- Check whether US sellers can ship affected goods from non-US stock or Canadian warehouses
Our reading Removing the low-value carve-out turns a trade dispute into a per-parcel cost for cross-border e-commerce, which favours sellers holding stock in Canada. Expect the lists to move with each round of the Section 338 escalation.
Sources
- Canada announces counter-tariffs on U.S. goods · KPMG TaxNewsFlash · 2026-08-26
- Canada's Surtax on U.S. Goods Takes Effect Sept. 8, 2026 · GHY International · 2026-09
USMCA leash
In forceCustomsArgentina
Argentina opens the postal channel to US$3,000 shipments
Decree 604/2026, published on 17 July, unified the treatment of postal and courier imports, with a duty exemption for shipments up to US$400 limited to five a year per person. ARCA General Resolution 5884/2026 of 30 July lets the official postal operator deliver door to door shipments of up to US$3,000 FOB for personal use, up to three units of the same item, with the option to pay duties before arrival.
For a parcel Postal and courier parcels into Argentina now compete on the same terms, with duty prepayment possible before arrival.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Correo ArgentinoCouriersCross-border platformsForeign posts sending to Argentina
What to prepare
- Add Argentina postal and courier capacity for peak, with prepaid-duty options at checkout
- Keep contracts short given exposure to exchange-rate and policy reversals
- Build controls for the five-shipments-a-year limit on the US$400 exemption
Our reading Argentina is the clearest regional bet on the shopper, and the reform should pull more low-value volume into the postal channel. The policy rests on one government's priorities, so reversal risk rises with any change of direction or currency stress.
Sources
- Postal shipments: the ARCA controls that apply in September for purchases from abroad · MyContador · 2026-09-15
- Resolución General 5884/2026 · Boletín Oficial de la República Argentina (ARCA) · 2026-07-30
- The government simplifies imports through Correo Argentino · Government of Argentina · 2026-07-30
LatAm split
In forceTaxChile
Chile collects 19% VAT through platforms on goods up to US$500
Since 25 October 2025, under Law 21.713, foreign platforms collect 19% VAT at checkout on goods up to US$500 bought from abroad and declare it quarterly to the tax authority, the SII. The first two periods raised about US$94 million from about 30 platforms, with AliExpress, Amazon, Temu, Shein and eBay the largest contributors.
For a parcel Tax is collected at checkout rather than at the border, so parcels arrive tax-paid and clearance depends on platform registration data.
- 4 May 2026SII reports about US$94 million collected over the first two quarterly periods La Tercera
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Cross-border platformsCouriers and the postal operatorChilean retailers
What to prepare
- Make sure Chile-bound flows from registered platforms carry proof that VAT was collected, to avoid double charging at the border
- Offer non-registered sellers a DDP route that collects VAT before dispatch
- Use Chile as a reference case for platform collection elsewhere in the region
Our reading Chile's model, collecting VAT through platforms from the first dollar, is the template Colombia's e-commerce chamber is now asking for. Revenue figures support keeping it, so we see little risk of reversal.
Sources
- VAT on goods bought abroad for up to US$500 raises over US$41 million in its first quarterly declaration period · Servicio de Impuestos Internos (SII), Chile · 2026-01-27
- End of the VAT exemption on purchases from foreign platforms raises US$94 million since entry into force · La Tercera · 2026-05-04
LatAm split
In forceTaxColombia
Colombia keeps US$200 VAT relief after court blocks cut
The government cut the VAT exemption for low-value postal and courier imports from US$200 to US$50 through emergency decrees (1474 of 2025 and 044 of 2026), but the Constitutional Court suspended them on 29 January and struck down the emergency on 9 April, restoring the US$200 threshold. The Colombian e-commerce chamber now asks for digital platforms, rather than couriers, to collect VAT on each transaction, and says proposals have gone to the Finance Ministry and Congress.
For a parcel Parcels under US$200 still enter Colombia without VAT when conditions are met, but a move to platform collection would add 19% at checkout.
- 9 Apr 2026Constitutional Court strikes down the economic emergency; US$200 VAT threshold restored Tributi
- 28 Sep 2026E-commerce chamber calls for platform collection of VAT on low-value imports El Universal
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Cross-border platformsCouriers and the postal operatorColombian retailers
What to prepare
- Price Colombia lanes on the current US$200 threshold but model a platform-collected 19% VAT
- Check US-routed flows that rely on the Colombia-US trade agreement for eligibility
- Follow any 2026-27 tax bill in Congress for de minimis changes
Our reading The court ruled on the emergency procedure, not on the policy, so a VAT cut through ordinary legislation remains possible. Timing depends on Congress, and we found no bill number yet.
Sources
- Court strikes down the economic emergency: what changes? · Tributi · 2026-04-13
- The Constitutional Court struck down the Petro government's economic emergency · Infobae · 2026-04-09
- Shein and Temu in Colombia: e-commerce chamber asks for VAT changes · El Universal · 2026-09-28
- Do Temu and Shein purchases pay VAT in Colombia? What you need to know · El Heraldo · 2026-09-25
LatAm split
In forceCustomsThailand (Customs Department; Revenue Department)
Thailand taxes every online import from the first baht
Since 1 January 2026, imported goods bought online pay 7% VAT and import duty from 1 baht, ending the 1,500 baht exemption. Officials estimated about 250 million parcels a year worth over 45 billion baht would be affected, with duty around 30% for clothing and footwear and around 20% for bags. Lazada, Shopee, SHEIN, TikTok Shop and Temu agreed with Customs to collect at checkout; on Thailand Post items tax is paid at delivery, and couriers pre-pay and recover it.
For a parcel Every parcel into Thailand now carries duty and VAT; platform-collected parcels clear on pre-paid data, others pay at the door or through the courier.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Foreign marketplacesThailand PostExpress couriersCross-border sellers
What to prepare
- Move Thai lanes to duty-paid checkout through platform or seller collection rather than collection on delivery
- Send classification and value data before arrival so platform-paid parcels clear without holds
- Price the cash-flow cost where couriers pre-pay duty and recover it later
Our reading The rule is settled and a reversal is unlikely. The next pressure point is enforcement against goods that fail Thai industrial and food and drug standards, which face removal or bans, alongside a continued shift of Chinese sellers to stock held in Thailand.
Sources
- Thailand Customs to tax online imports from 1 baht in 2026 · Khaosod English · 2025-12-22
- Online imports now taxed from first baht as rule starts Jan 1 · The Nation Thailand · 2026-01-01
- Thailand: new VAT rules for low-value imported goods now in effect · BDO · 2026-01-13
ASEAN rulebookEnd of de minimis
In forceCustomsIndia (Central Board of Indirect Taxes and Customs)
India removes the value cap on courier exports
From 1 April 2026, India removed the INR 1 million (Rs 10 lakh) per-consignment ceiling on courier exports through Notifications 33/2026 and 34/2026-Customs (N.T.). Uncleared goods can be returned or re-exported after 15 days if not prohibited or under enforcement action, re-import declarations for e-commerce returns carry more data, and authorised couriers bear storage charges on goods unclaimed beyond 30 days.
For a parcel Higher-value e-commerce exports can now leave India by courier instead of switching to conventional cargo, and returns carry more data fields.
- 1 Apr 2026Amended courier import and export regulations take effect India Briefing
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Indian e-commerce exportersExpress integratorsIndia PostCourier operators
What to prepare
- Review Indian courier export products for consignments that previously had to move as cargo
- Update return and re-import processes for the new declaration fields
- Set rules for unclaimed inbound goods, since couriers now carry storage costs after 30 days
Our reading India is using customs facilitation to grow e-commerce exports while many markets tighten low-value imports. The reforms favour operators with Indian courier licences and export consolidation capacity.
Sources
- How India's 2026 e-commerce export reforms benefit traders · India Briefing · 2026-03-31
In forceCustomsTürkiye (Presidency; Ministry of Trade)
Turkey abolishes the €30 duty-free allowance on postal and express imports
A presidential decision published in the Official Gazette on 7 January 2026, effective 30 days later, removed the €30 duty-free allowance for non-commercial goods imported by post or express. Such imports now pay a flat 30% on EU-origin goods and 60% on goods from elsewhere, with an extra 20% on certain products; medicines and dietary supplements keep an exemption up to €1,500. The limit had already been cut from €150 to €30 in August 2024.
For a parcel Every postal or express parcel bought abroad now pays 30% or 60%, which makes EU origin a pricing advantage and closes the small-order duty-free lane.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Foreign marketplacesExpress integratorsPostal operatorsCross-border sellers
What to prepare
- Price Turkish lanes duty-paid with origin-dependent rates, and verify EU origin claims
- Assess holding fast-moving, low-ticket stock inside Turkey
- Plan for lower volumes from non-EU origins on direct parcel lanes
Our reading Three cuts in under two years show a consistent policy to protect domestic retail and the trade balance, so a reversal is unlikely. The 30-point gap between EU and non-EU origin favours EU-based fulfilment for Turkish consumers.
Sources
- Turkey ends duty-free limit for goods sent by mail · AGBI · 2026-01
- Duty-free online shopping ends in Turkey: €30 limit abolished · Business Turkey Today · 2026-01
- Has the €30 limit on shopping abroad been lifted? Customs limit in 2026 · Hürriyet
End of de minimis
In forceCustomsEgypt (Egyptian Customs Authority; Ministry of Finance)
Egypt: advance cargo data for air freight, e-commerce track in design
Egypt made Advance Cargo Information (ACI) mandatory for all air freight from 1 January 2026: air waybills must carry an ACID number obtained by the Egyptian importer and a consignor code, or shipments face rejection, fines or return. Inbound air cargo processing fees were cut to US$95 per consignment from US$175 for a six-month introductory period. On 28 September 2026 customs head Ahmed Amawi set out a roadmap for cross-border e-commerce based on pre-arrival data and risk-based parcel classification, with EU, GIZ and ITC support, without implementation dates.
For a parcel An air shipment to Egypt without an ACID number can be refused; e-commerce parcels may later get a lighter, risk-based track.
- 28 Sep 2026Customs presents cross-border e-commerce roadmap at a workshop with EU, GIZ and ITC Al-Dostor
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Air forwardersExpress integratorsEgypt PostCross-border sellers
What to prepare
- Make ACID and consignor codes mandatory booking fields for every Egypt-bound air shipment
- Confirm with Egyptian partners how express and postal consignments are treated under ACI
- Follow the customs e-commerce workstream for draft rules on low-value shipments
Our reading Egypt is building a data-first border, and the e-commerce track is likely to reuse the ACI model. Until rules are published, pre-registration cost and delay fall on shippers and forwarders.
Sources
- Egypt to enforce mandatory ACI for air freight starting January 1, 2026 · Lufthansa Cargo
- Cairo's digital customs reset: Egypt cuts air cargo fees to protect throughput as ACI goes mandatory · Air Cargo Week · 2026-01-16
- Egyptian customs sets a roadmap to ease cross-border shipments with the EU and GIZ · Al-Dostor · 2026-09-28
North Africa gateway
In forceCustomsEuropean Union
ICS2: advance safety data now required for every mode into the EU
The Import Control System 2 requires an entry summary declaration with safety and security data before goods arrive in the EU. Postal and express consignments by air have been covered since 2023; road and rail were the last phase. Since 1 June 2026, every consignment entering the EU by any means of transport should have a valid declaration, after national derogations ended.
For a parcel Parcels trucked into the EU, for example from the UK or Türkiye, need complete item descriptions before arrival or face holds at the border.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Postal operatorsExpress integratorsRoad hauliers on UK, Swiss and Turkish lanesFreight forwarders
What to prepare
- Audit goods descriptions on road-fed parcel flows against the ICS2 rules on vague wording.
- Confirm that every subcontracted haulier on inbound lanes files, or receives, the entry summary declaration in time.
Our reading ICS2 is the data spine the customs reform builds on; carriers with weak advance data today will find the 2028 Data Hub harder, not easier.
Sources
- Import Control System 2 · European Commission, DG Taxation and Customs Union · 2026-06-01
- ICS2 enters final phase with country-specific derogations · Customs-Declarations.UK · 2026-01-26
EU customs reform
In forceTaxRomania
Romania: 25 lei fee on non-EU parcels under €150
Since 1 January 2026 Romania has charged a national logistics fee of 25 lei, about €5, on parcels under €150 from outside the EU delivered to Romania, regardless of the member state of entry. Couriers and postal operators must check that it has been paid, keep records for five years and report, with penalties of up to 10,000 lei. Romanian press reports that it applies alongside the EU €3 duty.
For a parcel A low-value parcel to Romania can carry about €5 national fee plus the €3 EU duty and, from November, the €2 EU handling fee.
- 1 Jul 2026EU €3 duty starts and applies alongside the Romanian fee StartupCafe
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Couriers and postal operators delivering in RomaniaNon-EU marketplaces
What to prepare
- Check that Romanian delivery partners verify and report the fee for parcels cleared in other member states.
- Include the Romanian fee in delivered duty paid price calculations for Romanian consumers.
Our reading The highest national add-on in the EU; we found no announced end date, so it may remain until the EU regime is fully in place.
Sources
- Taxă nouă în România și taxă nouă în UE pentru coletele sub 150 EUR · StartupCafe · 2026-06-03
End of de minimis
In forceSustainabilityUnited Kingdom
UK packaging EPR: fees now vary with recyclability
Under the UK's packaging extended producer responsibility scheme, large producers (over £2 million turnover and 50 tonnes of packaging a year) pay fees for household packaging. Year 1 used flat base fees; from year 2 (2026-27) fees are modulated by a red, amber, green recyclability rating. PackUK expects to recover about £1.56 billion in 2026-27.
For a parcel E-commerce shipping packaging that reaches households counts, so mailers and boxes rated red for recyclability cost more per tonne.
- 1 Jul 2026First liability notices for 2026-27 scheduled (month only) Packaging Gateway
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Retailers and brand ownersOnline marketplacesFulfilment providers packing for clients
What to prepare
- Clarify with clients who is the obligated producer for packaging you add at fulfilment.
- Shift mailer and filler choices towards designs rated green under the recyclability assessment.
Our reading Illustrative year 2 fees put red-rated plastic at £545 a tonne against £415 for green, a gap large enough to change packaging specifications in fulfilment.
Sources
- Packaging extended producer responsibility · House of Commons Library · 2026-07-29
- PackUK details next phase of UK packaging EPR rollout · Packaging Gateway · 2026-03-05
- Year 2 illustrative waste disposal fees: extended producer responsibility for packaging · Defra (GOV.UK) · 2025-12-19
UK £135 gap
ProposedPlatformsChina (draft amendment to the E-Commerce Law)
China's draft E-Commerce Law rewrite reaches logistics and adds countermeasures
A draft amendment to China's E-Commerce Law, published for comment in July 2026, would extend oversight from platforms and merchants to the wider platform economy, including logistics providers, payment processors, data infrastructure and AI shopping agents. It raises maximum fines from RMB 2 million to RMB 5 million, keeps platforms jointly liable when they outsource duties, and adds a clause on countermeasures to protect Chinese companies abroad.
For a parcel Carriers handling Chinese platform volume could face Chinese oversight and data requests on top of destination-market rules.
- 4 Aug 2026Public comment period on the draft closed The Next Web
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Chinese platformsLogistics providers serving Chinese platformsPayment processorsForeign carriers with Chinese platform contracts
What to prepare
- Add conflict-of-laws and data-request clauses to contracts with Chinese platforms
- Map which shipment and customer data you hold for Chinese platforms and where it is stored
- Track the draft through the State Council and the NPC Standing Committee
Our reading No adoption date has been set, the draft still has to pass the State Council and the NPC Standing Committee, and the final text may change. The countermeasures clause is the part to watch: it gives Beijing a legal basis to respond to EU or US enforcement against its platforms.
Sources
- China is rewriting e-commerce law to tighten platform rules and add countermeasures · The Next Web · 2026-07-04
- Amending China's E-Commerce Law: a brand owner's reading of the draft · Chang Tsi & Partners · 2026-08-05
- China proposes expanding E-Commerce Law to cover more digital businesses · Bloomberg · 2026-07-04
Platforms go localUS-China truce
ConsultationCustomsPhilippines (Department of Finance; Bureau of Customs)
Philippines keeps its PHP10,000 de minimis under review
Imports valued at PHP10,000 or less enter the Philippines free of duty and tax, under a threshold set in 2016 that the Finance Secretary may adjust every three years. The Department of Finance said in May 2025 it was reviewing the rule. In March 2026 the Philippine Retailers Association estimated that about PHP57.4 billion of goods a year enter under it and asked for a lower threshold rather than abolition.
For a parcel For now, low-value parcels into the Philippines stay free of duty and tax, which keeps the direct cross-border lane open.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Foreign marketplacesCross-border sellersExpress and postal operatorsPhilippine retailers
What to prepare
- Keep Philippine direct-parcel contracts short, with rate-change clauses
- Prepare duty-paid checkout so the lane can switch quickly if the threshold falls
- Monitor Department of Finance and Bureau of Customs issuances
Our reading The Philippines is the last large ASEAN market with a high de minimis, and regional practice points to a cut. We found no published proposal or date, so timing is uncertain.
Sources
- Value of tax-free small-value imports raised to P10K · Department of Finance (Philippines) · 2016-10-13
- DoF reviewing 'de minimis' rule, says Recto · BusinessWorld · 2025-05-02
- Retailers warn P57B imports entering tax-free under 'de minimis' rule · Inquirer Business · 2026-03-11
ASEAN rulebookEnd of de minimis
ConsultationProduct safetyUnited Kingdom
UK product safety reform: new duties for online marketplaces
Using powers in the Product Regulation and Metrology Act 2025, the government consulted until 23 June 2026 on reforming the UK's general product safety framework and market surveillance. Online marketplaces would have to exercise due care to prevent, identify and remove dangerous products, verify sellers and act against repeat offenders. Detailed duties will come through secondary legislation; no implementation dates have been set.
For a parcel Stricter pre-listing and seller checks mean more delistings and recalls on UK marketplaces, and more parcels stopped, returned or destroyed.
- 23 Jun 2026Consultations close; government response and secondary legislation to follow (no date announced) Lewis Silkin
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Online marketplacesOverseas sellersFulfilment providers
What to prepare
- Agree with marketplace customers how recalls and delisted stock in UK warehouses will be handled.
- Follow the government response for any duties that extend to fulfilment or delivery providers.
Our reading The UK is moving towards EU-style marketplace accountability, but on its own timetable; expect marketplaces to be the first target for new obligations and enforcement.
Sources
- UK government consults on proposals to reform the UK's general product safety framework and market surveillance regime · Lewis Silkin · 2026-06-01
- From passive host to proactive gatekeeper: online marketplaces in the spotlight under the PRMA reforms · Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer · 2026-04-14
UK £135 gap
SuspendedTrade and tariffsWorld Trade Organization
WTO duty moratorium on electronic transmissions lapses; 66 members go plurilateral
WTO members failed to renew the moratorium on customs duties on electronic transmissions at the 14th Ministerial Conference in Yaoundé (26 to 30 March 2026), so it lapsed, the first lapse since 1999. 66 members representing about 70% of world trade began interim implementation of the plurilateral E-Commerce Agreement, which includes a commitment not to impose such duties; it enters into force once 45 members complete domestic acceptance. India and other developing members argue the moratorium costs them tariff revenue.
For a parcel No direct change for physical parcels; the risk is new duties on cross-border digital services such as software, data and subscriptions.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
MarketplacesSoftware and digital content sellersLogistics platforms selling digital services across borders
What to prepare
- Map digital revenue streams exposed to possible duties in markets outside the E-Commerce Agreement
- Track which of your markets accept the E-Commerce Agreement
- Watch WTO General Council meetings in Geneva for an attempt to reinstate the moratorium
Our reading At the lapse, the Computer and Communications Industry Association noted that no government had imposed such duties, so the first mover is the signal to watch. The split mirrors parcel customs: rules are now set by coalitions rather than consensus.
Sources
- CCIA laments failure to extend WTO e-commerce moratorium at MC14 · CCIA · 2026-03-30
- Outcome of the 14th WTO Ministerial Conference · European Commission (DG Trade) · 2026-03-30
- WTO's 14th Ministerial Conference: e-commerce developments · PwC · 2026-04-02
- What the WTO e-commerce moratorium is and why members are split · Malay Mail · 2026-03-29
SuspendedTaxFrance
France: €2 small parcel tax suspended for the EU duty
France applied a national levy of €2 per category of article on low-value imports bought from non-EU platforms from 1 March 2026. It was suspended from 1 July 2026 when the EU €3 duty took over, under Decree No. 2026-589 of 3 July 2026. The levy is suspended, not repealed.
For a parcel No national charge on French imports today, but the legal basis remains and could be reactivated.
Who it hits, what to prepare, our reading
Directly affected
Non-EU marketplacesPostal and express operators serving France
What to prepare
- Keep the French levy configured but switched off in pricing and declaration systems.
- Watch French budget debates for any move to reactivate it, especially around the end of the EU interim duty in 2028.
Our reading The March to June episode showed how fast flows leave a gateway when one country acts alone; France has little reason to reactivate the levy while the EU charges apply.
Sources
- E-commerce: French tax on small packages replaced by a European customs duty · Service-Public.fr (French administration) · 2026-07-01
- Le gouvernement français annonce la suspension, à compter du 1er juillet 2026, de la taxe de 2 euros sur les petits colis instaurée en mars · Journal du Net · 2026-06-30
End of de minimis
Information, not legal advice. Dates come from official texts or quality legal and trade press, and slip often: always check the current text before acting.