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Storyline · UK

Britain between three rulebooks

Outside the EU, Britain sets its own customs timetable, but it sells into Brussels and Washington on their terms and still courts Beijing. It will close its £135 gap only by October 2028, which leaves the UK as the soft landing for direct parcels while its own exporters face tougher terms in both main markets.

The chain

From geopolitics to the parcel

1Geopolitics
  • 2025-05-08

    The UK-US Economic Prosperity Deal delivered sector access, but its paperless trade and customs work is rated as stalled.137

  • 2026-01-29

    Keir Starmer made the first prime ministerial visit to Beijing in eight years and won a cut in China's whisky tariff.138

  • 2026-07-20

    Andy Burnham became Prime Minister after Starmer's resignation, and the EU-UK summit planned for 22 July was postponed.139140

2Decision & law
  • 2021-01-01in force

    VAT on consignments of £135 or less is charged at the point of sale, with online marketplaces as deemed suppliers.141

  • 2026-07-13adopted

    The Treasury confirmed removal of the £135 relief by October 2028, with full tariff classification, a per-consignment handling fee and UK fiscal representatives with joint liability.8142

  • 2026-07-24in force

    British goods pay a 10% Section 301 tariff on top of normal duties in the United States, while the EU's combined rate is capped.143144

  • 2026-11-01adopted

    British web shops selling into the EU pay the €3 duty per tariff line and, from 1 November, the €2 handling fee per item.669

3Market
  • 2025-12

    Ofcom recorded a 19.8% rise in inbound international parcels in 2024-25, mainly from China.145

  • 2026-05

    Shein opened its automated centre at Cannock as platforms move part of their UK stock onshore.72

  • 2026-06

    Bloomberg analysis put UK low-value imports from December to April at about $1.8 billion, more than France and Germany combined but 11% lower than a year earlier.146

  • 2026-07-13

    Evri passed 1 billion parcels a year after merging with DHL eCommerce UK.147

4Parcel impact
  • ↕ Volume

    Fewer direct parcels overall, but a larger share of Europe's remaining direct flow lands in Britain until 2028.145146

  • ↑ Cost

    From 2028 direct parcels carry full classification, a handling fee per consignment and the cost of a fiscal representative.8

  • ↑ Compliance

    Non-UK sellers and marketplaces must appoint UK fiscal representatives with joint and several liability for customs debts.8142

  • ↑ Network

    Bulk imports into UK warehouses shift the fight to domestic last mile and locker density rather than international gateways.72148

Our read

Our reading: the timing of the closure, not the principle, decides who gains, and every month of delay keeps the UK the last large Western market where the direct model works on its original economics. British exporters face the worst of both borders, which pushes EU-bound and US-bound stock into the EU or third countries and away from UK outbound gateways.

What comes next

  • 2026-10-28Autumn Budget: watch the low-value import timetable and handling fee
  • 2026-11-01EU €2 handling fee per item applies to British online sellers too
  • 2028-10-01Latest date for removal of the £135 low-value import relief (October 2028)

The lens behind the decisions

Companies visibly affected

Solution landscape

Read the full analysis

Sources

  1. Ensuring fairness and safety: €3 customs duty for low-value parcels · European Commission
  2. Reforming the customs treatment of low value imports: consultation response · HM Treasury / HMRC (GOV.UK)
  3. Tax on small parcels from third countries: Commission completes EU arrangements with customs handling fee set at EUR 2 · Agence Europe
  4. Shein strengthens its logistics muscle in Europe with a new centre in the UK · Modaes
  5. UK-US Economic Prosperity Deal: one-year progress review · BritishAmerican Business
  6. UK-China relations hit reset following Starmer visit · China Briefing (Dezan Shira)
  7. Andy Burnham becomes UK's next prime minister · ABC News
  8. EU-UK: Summit to be held in 2026 · British Agriculture Bureau
  9. VAT and overseas goods sold directly to customers in the UK · HMRC (GOV.UK)
  10. UK Low Value Import Relief to be Removed by October 2028 · Baker McKenzie Global Import Blog
  11. Section 122 tariffs expire for many imports, but new Section 301 tariffs take effect · Honigman
  12. US administration rebuilds global tariff program under Section 301 · Morgan Lewis
  13. Post monitoring report: postal services in the financial year 2024-25 · Ofcom
  14. UK lags rivals in curbing influx of cheap parcels from China (Bloomberg) · FashionNetwork
  15. Evri Group delivers over one billion parcels in record year · Parcel and Postal Technology International
  16. InPost UK volumes surge 220% as Yodel integration weighs on profit · Retail Gazette

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